DALLAS- The pilot union of Southwest Airlines (WN) is engaging the services of multiple law firms in anticipation of the airline’s potential acquisition of another carrier.
Last month, the Southwest Airlines Pilots Association (SWAPA) decided to engage multiple law firms in case Southwest pursues the acquisition of another airline.
Southwest Buying Airline
One of these firms would specialize in labor issues, particularly safeguarding SWAPA Pilots’ interests while integrating seniority lists. The second firm, possibly supplemented by a third, would focus on the business and equity aspects of the transaction, ensuring that SWAPA Pilots have a stake in the new entity’s capital.
In 2010, former SWAPA President Carl Kuwitsky and former CEO Gary Kelly neglected to follow Delta/Northwest’s example by allowing Pilots to become equity partners when Southwest acquired AirTran. SWAPA is determined not to repeat that error.
If the pilot union is involved in discussions about a potential merger, it must ensure it doesn’t violate confidentiality agreements. The message to pilots emphasizes that neither the union nor anyone else at SWAPA has specific knowledge of any merger or acquisition plans at Southwest Airlines.
Still, it also acknowledges that hope alone isn’t a reliable strategy. Nonetheless, the union strongly believes that a merger or acquisition is likely for the airline.
Analyst Remarks
Enilria stated, “The most probable candidate, and one that has already been widely rumored, is JetBlue (B6).“
“Although JetBlue and Southwest have minimal direct route overlap, Southwest is the largest domestic carrier in the nation. Thus, I believe a merger between the two would represent a significant competitive loss,” added Enilria.
Enilria further reported that “Southwest probably perceives JetBlue’s slot portfolio as highly complementary. Notably, Southwest made an unconventional decision to discontinue several overlapping international routes from Ft. Lauderdale (FLL), potentially to facilitate a smoother merger process.”
Considering Carl Icahn’s recent acquisition of a stake in JetBlue and his appointment to the board, it’s clear that the possibility of selling the carrier, either in its entirety or in parts, is being seriously considered.
Potential Players
Despite its financial challenges, Southwest possesses the necessary financial resources to pursue this potential deal. The airline holds a strong position in congested airports like those in New York and Boston, and it has established a significant presence in Florida, where it also excels, particularly in domestic routes.
However, a merger of this magnitude would likely encounter significant resistance from the Department of Justice under the Biden administration. Some analysts believe that the success of such a merger might hinge on the outcome of the presidential election
Yet, this assumption relies on the uncertain premise that a potential second term for President Trump would resemble his first, characterized by the predominance of conventional Republicans in key positions. However, a more probable scenario involves economic nationalists assuming leadership roles rather than leaders favoring traditional business or market-friendly policies.
Considering JetBlue’s antitrust concerns, its fleet predominantly consisting of Airbus aircraft, and the potential incompatibility of its products, it may be overly ambitious to pursue such a merger.
Alternatively, there’s speculation from Enilria that a smaller acquisition of Sun Country (SY) and its Boeing 737 fleet could be a feasible option. This move could alleviate the fleet limitations that result from Boeing’s production challenges and regulatory issues.
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